“May you have the hindsight to know where you've been, the foresight to know where you are going, and the insight to know when you have gone too far”

End-of-season review (Part I)



“May you have the hindsight to know where you've been, the foresight to know where you are going, and the insight to know when you have gone too far”

Table for So, when was the “tipping point”? (see below)


It has been a while since I wrote my last piece. The will has been eroded on an almost-weekly basis of late and, with a number of contributions following the end-of-season collapse, I felt that I had very little to add. The game against Aston Villa was, in football terms, agonising, the pain exacerbated by the embarrassing “lap of appreciation”. Looking around me at the swathes of empty seats, I was reminded of my very first piece submitted to The Online Gooner.

Having ventured to make predictions in the early part of the season, I looked back over my thought-process at that time, although there is no desire to trumpet “I told you so”, rather, an unhappy compulsion that the eventual outcome of this season had been signposted both during this campaign and over several previous seasons.

Having critically reviewed all of the articles which I have written, and making mental notes, I found myself constructing my own “end-of-season review”. If I may share the introspective, I have sought out some cathartic release in sharing my hindsight. Accordingly, this piece is heavily populated with links. The intention is not to reiterate all that I have said, but simply to highlight some ideas and to comment where I have felt it appropriate.

Vote this Sunday (5 May 2010)
At the time, I think that a number of people took considerable umbrage to my suggestion of a choreographed walk-out after 80 minutes, during the final home game of the season before last, against Fulham. A year later and not only was the stadium two-thirds empty, but abusive chanting and booing preceded the traditional lap around the pitch.

Arsène Wenger was said to be shocked at a meeting with shareholders during the season before last when, among other accusations, it was suggested that Silvestre was a “geriatric”. The disquiet has magnified considerably since then and it is now hard to argue that the manager and Board could be anything other than acutely aware of the growing resentment. Actions speak louder than words. Expectations, priorities and policies need revision, however painful the process.

Don’t read this if you think it will offend… (11 May 2010)
"The construction of the Emirates Stadium meant that for many years we could not spend a lot of money. Our financial situation has greatly improved. We are finally able to buy the players we think we need."

In response to this explanation from the manager, I asked “What has Arsène Wenger learned from this season? Will he admit that his experiment, whether borne of necessity or singular vision, has at best been only a limited success? Assuming that any financial shackles have been somewhat loosened, who is on his shopping list and who might we no longer need or carry?”

The questions do not seem to have been answered conclusively, and the need for redress is increasing in direct proportion to the dissatisfaction – especially in light of the recent decision to uphold a 6.5% increase in ticket prices.

So, when was the “tipping point”? 16 May 2010
I attempted to analyse the origins in the change of fans’ perception which has largely resulted in a divide of opinion across the spectrum of support. No statistical analysis can definitively explain the recent lack of success, but it appears that Arsene Wenger himself takes more than a passing interest in accumulated data. Notwithstanding the reduction of quality, the table reproduced at the top of this page shows a deficit of 46 players with first team squad involvement until the end of the season before last. Coupled with another statistic which I recently read, suggesting that Arsenal used the fewest number of players in all league games last season, the high incidence of lengthy injury lay–offs becomes more understandable.

Comments made by Ivan Gazidis and by Arsene Wenger respectively shortly before this piece was published are more open to question (if not ridicule) than ever:

“The entire focus of the Club is achieving success on the pitch – that’s what we exist for………Our fans are much more than customers or consumers – they are part of the Club – and the strength of our relationship with our fans will define our strength as a club. We’re deeply engaged with our fans listening to how we can improve their experience and interaction with the Club…”

“We want to improve our quality this summer. It is not necessarily a large number of players that we need to buy but I believe you don't win the title when you concede 40 goals. Leave the transfer business to me and when you come back in July for the Emirates Cup you will see.”

At the conclusion of this season 43 league goals were conceded, many of which would have humiliated Sunday park players. There has been no improvement in final league position and currently rumours persist that more than one established player will leave.

“Arsenalisation” continued (The renaming of the stands and reintroduction of the clock) Part I (31 May 2010)
A historical piece, by way of introduction to a successive piece, which I had not planned to submit three months later! As John Lennon once said, life is what happens to you when you are busy making other plans.

“Arsenalisation” continued (The renaming of the stands and reintroduction of the clock) Part II (31 August 2010)
With reference to the ongoing Premier League Fan Surveys, I highlighted that, “according to survey results, when asked, 73% of fans anticipated that the recession would have at least a moderate impact on their spending over the next 12 to 18 months. However, only 6% thought that it would significantly affect their purchase of tickets, with equally minimal impact upon their spending on football related items/activities over next the 12 to 18 months, compared with the previous 12 months.”

“The average fan within this catchment has been attending games for 17 years, with at least a third going to games for more than 25 years. There is clearly a strategic requirement for clubs to encourage passionate, loyal support in succeeding generations. The F.A. National Fan Survey, conducted at the end of season 2006/2007, may therefore raise a potential concern – if we accept that just 6% of Arsenal fans were 24 or younger (of 24,419 people asked). This represented the second lowest figure, surprisingly or not, behind Chelsea.”

I concluded: “For me, the crux of the matter is this: so far as the Club is concerned, does “Arsenalisation” mean profit maximization or giving the institution back to the fans as true custodians of its traditions? There is an inherent danger of a move towards becoming an almost exclusively corporate organisation and it is my enduring hope that this “Arsenalisation” is not, in fact, a thinly veiled and exploitative venture – rather, the building of infrastructure to make us a truly competitive force with a strong brand and identity for years to come. Otherwise, Arsenal will become a completely sanitised Disneyland of football. Maybe that is what the Boston Consulting Group recommended.”

Now is the time to consider expectations (7 September 2010)
“If nothing has been learned from last season's collapse, it never will be. Whilst other clubs set their own benchmarks, we are again invited to postpone judgment until May.”

“With the definition of success no longer limited merely to silverware, what other successes would constitute a prosperous campaign?

On the pitch, I would consider improvement in the fundamentals a portent of success:
• The ability to concentrate for 90 minutes every game,
• Linked inextricably to concentration, a meaningful reduction in "soft" goals conceded,
• Better management of injuries (although I recognise that luck, referees and the integrity of opponents make this unlikely),
• Sad as it is to have to ask, 100% commitment throughout the squad. There are individuals who are content to coast, whilst others strain themselves - quite literally - to maintain a standard,
• Team selection based on form, rather than hierarchy,
• Evidence of less profligacy in front of goal - for the sake of a pass when a shot is clearly on.”


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11
comments

  1. clockendpaul

    Jul 13, 2011, 14:54 #9914

    PPP... does van persie have to grow up as well then, he's the latest player to argue for more quality signings. We don't need to spend 100m whats availiable would be nice, drones like you might see that one day although i doubt it.

  2. Brigham

    Jul 13, 2011, 9:07 #9887

    Wenger has clearly lost the plot and I fully expect those 'men in white coats' to be awaiting his return from the Asia tour! He just cannot learn from his mistakes, which in turn, makes him look very stupid as making mistakes is to be expected, but to continue making the same ones is madness.

  3. HowardL

    Jul 12, 2011, 23:54 #9886

    Cl..utch...ing at st-r-aw-s...

  4. ppp

    Jul 12, 2011, 23:14 #9885

    Oh do me a favour - just because we're not buying Kaka and Messi doesn't mean we aren't trying to win things. Grow up! Not every club can spend a hundred million a year and get away with it. Especially not on crap like Ashley Young and Phil Jones for f*cks sake. We've got a squad of fine players and there's every chance we'll add more in the next month. If you're so worried about what the press is saying and how much they love Man United and the moneybag billionaire club then just stop reading their stories!!

  5. clockendpaul

    Jul 12, 2011, 22:10 #9883

    Next summer walcott and van persie are both down to their last year, is he going to let them run their contracts down as well if they don't sign! All he's done with nasri is delay it til next summer or even this coming jan when he can sign a contract with a european club, and if that happens how many games will he play after jan not too many i would think! The man just gets more desperate and deluded, he must realise the games nearly up!

  6. Das boot

    Jul 12, 2011, 19:33 #9882

    The arrival of Gervinho though welcome, suggests that OGL has still not elucidated that we have to strengthen at the back. Promoting one of two, or moving Vermaelen to LB is alarming. Losing Clichy though cause for celebration as he's been abysmal for a while now could be a pyrrhic victory. If an unknown from Charlton his only addition to date is an indicator then count hindsight out. I was praying he'd accept Rice's retirement too, but oh no, he wants us to go around his barmy carousel one more time. When will it end...please gods of footy help us with a boardroom upheaval, a huge bid by a new investor, or Usmanov, so that Arsenal can have the true renaissance to match the stadium. The most remarkable thing about all this; Wenger from a heroic, cult status iconic manager, becoming a figure of derision, dislike, and mistrust. I cannot really forsee us becoming a major force under this stewardship. Sorry i'm not alone. Victoria concordia crescit!

  7. Clueless

    Jul 12, 2011, 18:55 #9881

    he is keeping Nasri for 1 more year and trying to do same with Cesc because he knows and we all know that wenger himself has 1 more year maximum. so the logic is if we win something then he will stay and they will decide to stay and if we dont then he is leaving and he doesnt give a **** that we lost 20m on Nasri and prob 10m on Cesc by forcing them to stay. what he should be doing is spending 50m nett this time around so that these 2 want to stay because they are excited about next season. i think it is all very sad and the last 4 or 5 years of wengers reign ending next year will go down as a very sour time for the club

  8. Ron

    Jul 12, 2011, 16:25 #9880

    The situation now is that AW is likening the possible keeping of Nasri, to the spending of 20 Million quid. Ive never seen such garbage. His logic is clearly that if it equates to 'spending', then he only ever wants 12 months of service from a player who might cost him 20 Million! Either hes lost the plot or hes baiting the Board over lack of funds. I suspect the former so 'foresight' and 'insight' are straight out of the window. As for 'hindsight', im not sure that the word enters Wengers vocabulary. If it does and if he has it, he blatently ignores it. There's nothing worse than somebody who repeats the same errors and expects a differnt result.

  9. Mark

    Jul 12, 2011, 13:52 #9879

    moaning about Birmingham or Ferguson, barry or alex, moaning about finances, etc is just loser mentality created by current arsenal management. there is always an excuse for them but the key is the fans musnt accept that they must demand head on agressive competition right across the board in every possible respect. im sure sami, cesc, robin, gael, etc see arsenal management as a bunch of losers

  10. simon

    Jul 12, 2011, 12:58 #9877

    Nasri allowed to run down his contract and lose the club 20 odd million but penny pinching when buying players. Economic madness.

  11. Richard Ansell

    Jul 12, 2011, 12:47 #9876

    Hindsight, foresight and insight are three words which do not seem to register with Wenger. He never learns from mistakes, does not appear to have a clue as to how to prepare / pick a team tactically to do a job depending on who we are playing and as for insight, I am now questioning his sanity as he is prepared to lose circa £20M on Nasri just to keep him at the club for the final year of his contract. There does not seem to be any limit on what stunts he is prepared to pull to keep his flawed vision alive. Even RVP is now asking for him to buy in the much needed quality so we can compete properly right at the top. My bet is he will stick to his 'principles' which basically means he will do f**k all of note to address the flaws in our team of chokers and the few quality players left will be wanting out even more.