Ed’s note – This was actually an email received for the onlinegooner podcast back in July. It now seems somewhat pertinent
What I want to state, plain and simple, is that Arsenal Football Club is in a spiral of decline that is being underestimated by most fans.
The problems are complex and, when they are discussed, confusion reigns as to the root of what is happening at the club and where is the club going.
My conclusions are these -
Corporate Strategy - The Board
1. Brand Arsenal as a global entertainment brand to replace Arsenal Football Club as an entity
2. Do not over-resource
3. Appease fans with a charismatic leader
4. The dream scenario
It is clear now, I feel beyond reasonable argument, that Brand Arsenal's main reason for existence is to finish in the top four of the EPL. 70 points will achieve a fourth-place finish; therefore only resources that will achieve that outcome are needed at the club.
The desire to win trophies requires significant resources, and the risk/benefit analysis views this as having a negative effect on profits.
The First-Team Manager
1. Must have a link with the past
2. Must buy into the corporate strategy
3. High remuneration
In all that has happened at the club in the last seven years, the first-team manager has only ever been questioned on the performance of the first team on the pitch and his transfer policy.
It my belief that a much more covert and cynical game is being played here.
Wenger is living on history in terms of success on the pitch, and is redefining the term "success" annually to match Arsenal's achievements from 2006 to 2012. He has been successful in keeping the club in profit in those years but his primary goal now is to develop young players to be sold on for a profit and to finish fourth in the EPL.
Wenger cannot really claim Champions League qualification as success on three levels -
• Arsenal have qualified for the Champions League for 16 years in a row with only one Final appearance
• The current squad has ten players earning approximately £30 million per year (which is the bulk of the Champions League annual income) who do not contribute to the first-team squad and cannot be sold as there are no buyers for them (Fabianski, Squillaci, Djourou, Denilson, Diaby, Bendtner, Park, Vela, Chamakh and Arshavin)
• Wenger has never won a European trophy in his career. Arsenal's participation looks more and more tokenist.
Wenger is paid in excess of £6m per year for meeting the Board's targets and going "native". He is like the Alec Guinness character in Bridge Over the River Kwai and has lost the perspective of his early Arsenal career.
The Fans
The current downward spiral will not be ended by the Board or Wenger. Both are too comfortable with each other. It can only be ended by the fans not playing the Board’s game, basically by not going to the matches.
If you keep doing what you have always done, you will get what you have always got. If Graham had not left, there would be no Arsène Wenger. OK, we suffered Rioch but at least he brought in Dennis Bergkamp.
Do not be afraid of change.
Oh yes, and what is the Board's dream scenario? To see Stan Kroenke's American Football team playing eight games a season at the Emirates and training at London Colney.
BEWARE BRAND ARSENAL