After a good second half of the season and a commanding FA Cup win there is a good deal of optimism that with one or two signings we might at last make a proper fist of challenging for the league. Opinions vary, do we need another striker, another DM, another defender maybe another left back and a keeper ?
Over the course of his tenure I think it’s reasonable to say that Wenger has a good eye for a player although I know he has bought a few turkeys in his time. But then, haven’t most managers? This was truer earlier in his career before Abramovich and petrodollars distorted the market. Arguably in those heady days he was ahead of the game.
However there is a black hole in his dealings that is as puzzling as it is serious. He has never signed or developed a single a world class keeper (Note: Lehmann wasn’t a top drawer keeper). David Seaman was already at the club when he arrived. George Graham bought him for what was then a record fee and what a buy that turned out to be. Arsenal have had some great keepers in the past, Jack Kelsey. Bob Wilson, Pat Jennings to name a few. But since Seaman they have ranged from competent to incompetent, none of them could be remotely considered top class let alone world class.
This is a curious omission. It is as true today as it was in the earlier days, you cannot win the league without a top class keeper. Even more puzzling is that they don’t cost that much. A top striker costs north of £45m whereas a top keeper would set you back £20-£30m at most. The author of the book ‘Why everything you know about football is wrong’ states that a clean sheet will earn a team on average 2.2 points a game. Further the two critical statistics that determine the result of a match are firstly chance conversion percentage and secondly shots saved percentage.
When Brian Clough bought Peter Shilton, he had this to say;
‘A team with an OK goalkeeper is always looking over its shoulder… it’s thinking it doesn’t matter what we do the fella between the posts might make a mistake. Shilton gives everyone confidence’ - or words to that effect.
As the silly season fully gets underway and we fans start getting wound up about this or that player, its worth remembering Clough’s words, if we don’t get a top keeper we won’t win anything.
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