Arsenal Audit - November 2016 review, part 1

Neil A. Fry, Arsenal Audit



Arsenal Audit - November 2016 review, part 1

Elneny – The Stats Don’t Lie?


After a disastrously ill-prepared start to the season, Arsenal embarked on an unbeaten run with a mix of good, bad and ugly performances and some character. After last month’s more positive review, Arsenal Audit looked ahead to a difficult, and historically troublesome, November. It was suggested that two points against Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United wouldn’t be the end of the world, but defeat in either match would. Four or even six points would suggest that, to the more experienced and deeper squad, stronger spine and more modern pressing tactics, Arsenal have also finally acquired some of the mental strength Monsieur Wenger believed they had. With the UEFA Champions League Group ‘decider’ following, we would know a lot more about Arsenal’s pretensions for the season. As usual, Part One revisits the matches to tidy up loose ends and flag up some prevailing themes for further analysis in Part Two (both were submitted for publication before the FC Basel match).

Ludogorets 2–3 Arsenal
The Champions League Group ‘decider’ was dependent on Arsenal winning the away tie at Ludogorets, but with both full-backs, Santi Cazorla, Theo Walcott and Lucas Perez all injured, the tricky decisions over team selection ahead of the North London derby had narrowed. Despite the 6–0 home win, Arsenal Audit had cautioned about taking the tie lightly. Arsenal even surpassed the terrible start at PSG and were two down in 15 minutes and heading for yet another woeful Champions League defeat against much lesser opposition. However, so far this season, Arsenal have been more resolute in character after they go behind. Francis Coquelin and Granit Xhaka were the ‘2’ and the latter slotted in Mesut Özil’s goal-line cross from just behind the penalty spot five minutes after Arsenal conceded the second. Aaron Ramsey and Olivier Giroud both started for the first time this season and combined to bring Arsenal level just before half time. The former, forced to operate on the right wing he prefers not to play on, put in an excellent cross, which was finished off with a trademark bullet header. Less happily, with Alexis Sanchez shunted back to the left, the pair seemed to slow Arsenal’s new-found pressing dynamism and offensive cut and thrust, and to return Arsenal to the dourer sideways movement of last season. Nevertheless, energised by a rare start, the Frenchman uncharacteristically raced back to just beyond the penalty circle to dispossess the opposition two minutes before the end. Mohamed Elneny sent Mesut Ozil clear with a rare piece of game-changing creativity, a long ball over the top, and the languid World Cup winner scored his second successive Arsenal Goal of the Month winner with a goal certainly to write home about.

Arsenal 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur
Francis Coquelin and Granit Xhaka were retained as the ‘2’ and, with the recent injuries clearing up (Santi Cazorla excepted) Monsieur Wenger reverted to his otherwise then preferred first XI. Four days earlier, their local rivals had toiled to a Champions League defeat at, for a high-press team, a particularly energy-sapping Wembley. Yet, remarkably, their demanding young manager chose the North London derby to suddenly introduce 3-5-2. It was unforeseeable and Arsenal started slowly and chased shadows for the first quarter, and an unpressed Tottenham flooded through. Their centre-back - Kevin Wimmer - helped with an own goal and even an Arsenal legend and top-rank pundit, who lives in an ordinary London house, protested the goal should have been disallowed. However, according to the rules of the game, which trouble very few pundits despite a career in the game, it was rightly awarded. The only Arsenal player to challenge Wimmer was Laurent Koscielny, who was level and onside. The two players who were in offside positions, Alexis and Mustafi, didn’t challenge him and didn’t affect his ability to play the ball. After a rusty Harry Kane’s penalty shortly after the resumption, following an uncharacteristically clumsy and unnecessary challenge from Laurent Koscielny, Tottenham regained the ascendency. Once 65 minutes were up, Monsieur Wenger went for broke and made three substitutions within five minutes. Aaron Ramsey and Olivier Giroud joined the fray, to little effect. Enjoying one of his better periods for Arsenal since the optimistic days of his signing, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain’s body language didn’t betray what was probably his worst 20 minutes ever in an Arsenal shirt.

With the rise of Tottenham under Pochettino and increasing importance in terms of the top end of the League table/Champions League qualification, the North London derby seems to have become increasingly tepid. Nevertheless, Monsieur Wenger has yet to get the better of his young rival in the Premier League.

Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal
In another fixture that seems to have lost most of its old bite, almost all of Arsenal’s entire outfield team produced their worst 90 minutes in an Arsenal shirt this season. Granit Xhaka, having been one of the better players in the derby and kept his cool well, was dropped in favour of Mohamed Elneny and, even more bizarrely, Aaron Ramsey was bodged over to the left wing. Monsieur Wenger explained, “I knew it would be a bit more of a physical battle so I chose players who have experience and fight … That’s why my selection was because of that.”

Xhaka 24 years old. Ex-FC Basel and Borussia Monchengladbach. 48 Caps for Switzerland including featuring in the last World Cup and Euros. In the Premier League this season - 668 minutes, 50 duels won, 8 aerial duels won, 76 recoveries, 23 tackles won, 11 clearances, 22 interceptions, 557 passes at 88.7% accuracy, 3 chances created, 1 assist.

Elneny also 24. Ex-El Mokawloon & FC Basel. 40 Caps for Egypt. In the Premier League this season - 449 minutes, 22 duels won, 3 aerial duels won, 29 recoveries, 10 tackles won, 3 clearances, 6 interceptions, 409 passes at 92.7% accuracy, 6 chances created, 1 goal.

Having embraced analytics, Monsieur Wenger clearly discarded them in choosing Elneny over Xhaka. Simply perverse. A busy player popular with many fans, Elneny’s Ray Wilkinsesque lack of decisive creativity alongside the enforcer Francis Coquelin also offered little going forward. Defensively, Ramsey left a struggling Nacho Monreal once again exposed and wing-back Antonia Valencia took full advantage. Mesut Ozil operated way too deep to have any impact. Alexis Sanchez’s two strappings and performance suggested he was anything but his personally-claimed 100% recovered from international duty. Theo Walcott’s only contribution was to diligently protect Carl Jenkinson from a repeat of his suffering during his last visit in Arsenal colours. (Remarkably, £4m a year pundit Thierry Henry had forgotten the 2–8 and his sending off). A dire collective offensive output, including particularly poor set-pieces, ensued, which even suffered by comparison with some of last season’s worst performances. Sky Sports Gary Neville called Arsenal “pathetic”. Yet, remarkably, Monsieur Wenger waited until the 73rd minute for the first substitution and Plan B. Olivier Giroud, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Xhaka replaced Elneny, Jenkinson and Coquelin. Oxlade-Chamberlain and Giroud combined superbly to score Arsenal’s first Premier League goal against a side managed by Mourinho since May 2007 (Gilberto). Olivier Giroud gained a personally unwanted record of having scored more Premier League goals as a substitute than any other Arsenal player. And the 2-3 reverse at the same ground last February remained Arsenal’s only away League defeat in 2016.

Arsenal’s resilience in avoiding defeat continued. But the Portuguese King Joffrey and Old Trafford Premier League double hoodoo seemed to affect both Monsieur Wenger’s team selections and the players’ minds, and another chance to make a statement was lost.

Arsenal 2–2 Paris Saint Germain
The unsuccessful Coq-Elneny ‘2’ was replaced with yet another roll of the ‘2’ dice; to the stalwart Francis Coquelin was now added the less than defensively disciplined Aaron Ramsey. The lethargy so evident in the previous two big matches continued. Three season-defining big matches. Three poor starts. The pressing and offensive movement that had characterised Arsenal’s better performances this season, came care of PSG. Edinson Cavani’s power, pace and movement left him with the freedom of the Emirates Stadium (once again, his finishing failed to match). Arsenal’s new pressing game didn’t appear until late in the first half and the move that led to the equaliser, another Olivier Giroud goal, rewarded him for his super-sub feats with a start. The penalty came from contact, albeit minimal, and as players so often do, Alexis made the most of it. The perpetrator, Krychowiak, tellingly, didn’t complain.

Immediately the second half started, Arsenal’s contre-presser was back. Was it the half-time team talk? Why wait? Where was the game management again? The substitutions were left until after Arsenal’s luck ran out on the 77th minute and Alex Iwobi was substituted after his own-goal which cancelled out PSG’s earlier. The final substitution came at 81 minutes with Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain at a new-found position for him, replacing a struggling Carl Jenkinson at right-back. Aaron Ramsey, however, trumps his four positions, having been tried in all the midfield five, unfortunately, again this season, to very little effect. Arsenal’s better performances have been notable for his absence ….

Arsenal 3–1 Bournemouth
To the inevitable goal-keeping change, Monsieur Wenger made six out-field searching for the missing November spark. Xhaka and Elneny formed yet another ‘2’. Aaron Ramsey and Olivier Giroud were benched in favour of pace and movement, with Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain replacing Alex Iwobi, who had faded of late. The changes soon paid off and Arsenal created a chance within 90 seconds, whereas in the previous two Premier League matches that was all they managed in 90 minutes. This time Alexis was fit, and despite a spirited performance by Bournemouth, his whirlwind performance and two goals saw Arsenal to victory, sandwiching a close-range header from Theo Walcott. Giroud and Ramsey had to make do with 15 minutes, although that was enough for the super-sub to set up Alexis’s second.

The biggest shock, given Carl Jenkinson’s struggles, had been the very welcome return from a year of exile and injury of Mathieu Debuchy. His sad struggles with injury continued and Gabriel Armando de Abreu was forced into the right-back position after just 12 minutes. Not for the first time, Monsieur Wenger has a December right-back crisis on his hands. Gabriel coped adequately but looks an even more unnatural fit than Johan Danon Djourou-Gbadjere and even more uncomfortable on the ball. Let us hope Gabriel’s confidence and career do not suffer like Djourou’s did.

Arsenal 0–2 Southampton
A persistent theme of past Arsenal Audits was the poor prioritisation of competitions and, above all, throwing the FA Cup with unnecessary rotation in search of a Champions League win that never remotely looked likely to happen. Simon Rose’s excellent Online Gooner article made a good case for - as some notable major rivals have - taking the competition more seriously. Whether winning the competition would make Arsenal any more likely to win the Premier League title under Monsieur Wenger is another matter – certainly, the two recent FA Cup wins have not.

Southampton made eight changes themselves, but to very much greater effect, and thoroughly deserved their place in the semi-final. Arsenal were devoid of movement for most of the match and woeful. Jeff Reine Adelaide, often out-muscled, could be excused as a young player out of his depth. Carl Jenkinson was a player shorn of confidence in the knowledge that, apart from his family, the vast amount of watching fellow Arsenal supporters don’t think he’s good enough. And Lucas Perez was rusty upon his first match returning from injury and starved of good service. But Captain Kieran Gibbs, Francis Coquelin, an ill but still trusted Mohamed Elneny, Alex Iwobi and Aaron Ramsey are hardly strangers to Arsenal’s first team and all have designs on a regular starting place. Alex Iwobi, in fairness, was the pick of a bad bunch. Aaron Ramsey was given a second opportunity this season to shine in his preferred No. 10 position and remind us of his one good season in an Arsenal shirt and Euro 2016 form for Wales. Again, he did nothing to press his claims. Instead, we were treated to his full repertoire of misplaced shots, misplaced passes, runs up blind alleys, sideways passes, backwards passes. And, not least, Ramsey’s star turn - his much-loved hamster move as he confidently and purposefully wheels backwards in a full circle with the ball, ensuring any forward momentum is totally lost.

In Part Two, tomorrow, Arsenal Audit looks at why Arsenal weren’t able to deliver the statement of intent they had hoped and examines the problem of the ‘2’ without Santi Cazorla, game management and substitutions, and the November problem. After the usual look at the British core, we finish with some thoughts on Arsenal’s prospects ahead.

Sources:

On offside and the own goal:
https://www.premierleague.com/news/137357

Old Trafford team selection:
http://www.arsenal.com/news/news-archive/20161119/wenger-explains-his-team-selection

Player stats:
http://www.arsenal.com/fixtures/first-team/stats-centre?type=player-stats


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31
comments

  1. jeff wright

    Dec 13, 2016, 15:44 #95561

    Too true mbg, but we can take ( well some will) comfort from Wally's comments that he can't see us losing 5-1 away to BM again .Unlike Wengo's( yawn) negative ones at least Wally is trying to be optimistic with his own comments.Then again like motor-mouth Rambo he does tend to talk a good fight rather than produce one. So best not to get too carried away with it all.

  2. mbg

    Dec 13, 2016, 15:16 #95558

    jw, TOF's spin machine is in full flow at the minute alright (of course it would be wouldn't it)and as usual the sheep are lapping it up, so easily fooled year after year, season after season, we shouldn't laugh really, but you have to. wenger out.

  3. Bonzo

    Dec 13, 2016, 12:57 #95555

    Jamee - you and your obsessions. what you've been forcing Leek the Squeek to endure at the Caravan of horrors is deviancy in the extreme. Please do acknowledge him by the way after all the private suffering and humiliations you put him through you could at least say hello.

  4. jeff wright

    Dec 13, 2016, 11:10 #95554

    Barca or Bayern for Wengo( yawn) - otherwise known as Inspector Clueless the pink panta - it makes little difference really it's just deja vu past results and, in the unlikely event that Wengo( yawn) should beat Bayern,not impossible but unlikely, the slick senors that Wengo ( yawn) was desperate to avoid will still be lurking later . Obviously a lot of ott optimistic spin is going to be put on Wengo( yawn) having yet again made the first KO round in the Euro Cup cash cow comp albeit it's rather like someone having a horse run in the Grand National every season only for it to fall at the first fence every time. As it happens we failed twice to beat PSG in our group and had that been a KO tie we would have lost it - even though having played the second leg at home .So much for the second leg played at home is an advantage theory then! You couldn't make it up.Just had a quick glance at the Prem table and see that Chelsea are 3 points clear of us - how did this happen then>? To me this looks like another Leicester scenario here with Wengo( yawn) having won a pyrrhic victory against the blues at home but unable to capitalize on it when he had to break his duck against Mourinho at Sold Trafford . Never mind though a top 4 trophy looks on again and all of that lovely TV cash from the European Cup group stage to follow for Stan.How are things going on the Glum and Glummer contact front and how come it's always Wengo(yawn) who is threatening players with having to see out their last 18months with him - this can't be conducive to morale surely by forcing want away players to stay wile underpaying them>? Who plays for any club willingly when they can get more money elsewhere and have better prospects of actually winning trophies.Answers on a post card please to Monsieur Wenger . Comfy Zone .La La Land.

  5. The Fonz

    Dec 13, 2016, 9:43 #95553

    What an arrogant and dull piece of writing. What is the point of this?

  6. Mark from Aylesbury

    Dec 13, 2016, 8:53 #95552

    Over at ANR a reader has posted that good old Stan has just given out a long term contract to (Statistically speaking) the most mediocre manager in the NFL Jeff Fisher. He shares a similar long standing in Management I gather. Further evidence that Kronke supports perceived stability over winning. It'll be interesting to see if LA Rams supporters will kick off or whether it's just a sporting franchise day out in the afternoon for the majority.

  7. Bonzo

    Dec 13, 2016, 8:08 #95551

    Squeek - my opinion on Wenger is quite simple. Arsenal 3 Chelsea 0 the 40,000 (who apparently agree with everything you say) , not a peep about Wengo. I can't hear it Squeek, what was that? There's only one Arsene Wengo? Cor blow the dust of that old record.

  8. Bonzo

    Dec 13, 2016, 6:47 #95550

    Jamee - you're off your trolley how can Pepe be a specialist in failure he's smashed Wenger over the last 10 years along with Maureen. Klopp still won 2 titles back to back agains the financially doped Bayern. Even if they are suffering some form of drop off (debatable) they are still win 3 points of Wengo (no titles 13 years). Squeek- have you noticed that the 40,000 silent choir behind you is waiting, waiting for the announcement. As I said you'd be better off sailing your ship to PSG as Arsenal are looking beyond Wengo. I know it hurts but one day you'll stop snivelling. I mean hey what could the next guy do? Not win a title?

  9. Aussie

    Dec 13, 2016, 6:36 #95549

    Agree with you Ron, hope it fizzles out.The CL takes too much shine from our own comps. Seems to have become a major religious (drawn out) money making festival. How Arsenal manage these coming fixtures is anyone's guess...

  10. bba

    Dec 13, 2016, 4:16 #95548

    This coming from Paul Ward who stated the end is nigh if we don't beat man u. Negative or what.

  11. Paul Ward

    Dec 12, 2016, 23:11 #95547

    A terrible draw, and second leg right on top of of a trip to Anfield in the league, which could prevent the manager resting a few, assuming we are still in the tie of course. At least we are at home second and Wenger did outwit Ancellotti once during his spell at Chelsea, difficult to be too optimistic though and another last 16 exit the likeliest outcome.

  12. Leek fc

    Dec 12, 2016, 22:51 #95546

    My opinion on Mr Wenger is quite simple. I believe that he is still the man for the job. Not Pep, not Klopp, no one other than Wenger. Pour scorn on it as most on here do bell end. For the record.... 1984 first game at Highbury. Give your pound to O.G..... They need it.

  13. Bonzo

    Dec 12, 2016, 22:41 #95545

    Then your 15 years older than I thought you were Squeek. The weasly Mr Wenger lick slurp continuum makes you sound like a callow youth. Please stay Mr Wenger, please stay....grovel lick.

  14. Leek fc

    Dec 12, 2016, 22:24 #95543

    You owe me then bell end.

  15. Bonzo

    Dec 12, 2016, 21:55 #95542

    Squeek read it again imbecile I said my first games were standing so no padded seats on the East Stand Upper as only the Upper mid sections of the East and West were padded. Sadly though I had to leave the beautiful Art Deco of Highbury I have been on numerous occasions to the dreadfully named Emirates. However I will lay a £1 you never stood on either the Nortbank or Clockend.

  16. Mad Monk

    Dec 12, 2016, 21:47 #95541

    Champion's league now that is an Oxymoron and the luv up arse lickers have again awarded a plastic faced look at me ain't I lovely make a statue of me cheating diving face screwing piece of **** an unearned accolade again. God how these moron's think that French people can claim the right to inform us who the best footballers are tossers when we all know it should be either Walcott or Ozil ( that's a joke by the way)

  17. Leek fc

    Dec 12, 2016, 21:37 #95540

    So Bonzo the bell ends first game was 1976. His last game was with John Lydon in 1977. He doesn't sit on padded seats so he's never been to the Emirates. He's seen the bad old days at the Arsenal in the 70's and can't get to grip with the best days this club has ever seen under mr Wenger. Now it's all making sense...... Yet another sad old gooner living on old times. Most Boring Gooners are aplenty on this site.

  18. mbg

    Dec 12, 2016, 21:25 #95539

    GS, ask leeky if we'll beat them, he's a clairvoyant now, along with the rest.

  19. Bonzo

    Dec 12, 2016, 20:57 #95538

    Jameelee - northbank 1976 for my first game thank you very much, no expensive upper East Stand padded seats for the impoverished Bonzo. Now onto important matters. Leekey you're going have to man up and not wail like a little boy. Put down the slush puppy and listen. Arsenal have contacted Ralph Hasenhüttl. This means we are looking at other options. However much you wail Wengo must stay. I'd recommend supporting PSG as Wengo will be there soon enough.

  20. GS

    Dec 12, 2016, 20:00 #95537

    Leeky , WTF , you are agreeing with me again, steady on old boy , you'll ruin my street cred if I had any. As for Bayern , if we maintain our positive attitude I feel we can beat them , let's hope injuries are kind and Wenger has learnt from previous losses . ....COYG - No Fear .

  21. Leek fc

    Dec 12, 2016, 19:16 #95536

    Fact is if we had finished second in the group then it would have been Barcelona. Twice in a week, I agree with GS. Good enough and we'll beat them... MBG.... Remind me who the mighty Spurs got in the draw. Yep, say no more.

  22. mbg

    Dec 12, 2016, 17:29 #95535

    So wally scores a goal and he suddenly finds his voice again, (that's a new medical condition for TOF and his regime, I thought he already had them all)telling those who will listen Europe's elite should fear Arsenal, yeah right, wally tells us he doesn't think many teams will want to play us, i'd say it's the other way around on both counts. I bet Bayern are rubbing their hands with glee. wenger out.

  23. GS

    Dec 12, 2016, 14:24 #95534

    Arsenal Audit Part 1 - do you mean there is a Part 2 ?? please spare us , we know what happened. As for CL draw, no issue, Bayern are there to be beaten, if we are good enough we will beat them, and I think this year we can. Just need to keep going, as so far so good......COYG

  24. Redshirtswhitesleeves

    Dec 12, 2016, 14:15 #95533

    Zzzzzz more repetitive champions league boredom, how predictable was that draw? This tournament really needs a shake up as it has become so stale and tedious. How about this for an idea....a straight knockout competition for domestic league winners only? No, it would never catch on would it haha. Good result at the weekend, I detest Charlie Adam too and will laugh till I cry when he gets his comeuppance, the dirty orc b**tard

  25. mbg

    Dec 12, 2016, 14:14 #95532

    Paulo75, well said, all the reckoning and summing up needed instead of a long dawn out essay, and there's actually a part two ? You couldn't make it up.

  26. mbg

    Dec 12, 2016, 13:59 #95531

    Oh gawd another long drawn out piece of self important waffle that we already know, coinciding with the news of the injury jinx striking again with another player injured, I read the first three lines and fell asleep, I don't suppose you have enlightened us as to why they keep happening, and no doubt it's not the fault of your messiah and his light weight tippy tappy twinkle toes regime. wenger out.

  27. Ron

    Dec 12, 2016, 13:21 #95530

    Did the CL draw really matter? B bloody M. Every yr. I so hope that the 'Champions'Lge fizzles out one day by dint of its own boredom inducing format.

  28. WeAreBuildingATeamToDominate

    Dec 12, 2016, 12:21 #95529

    So much for winning the group and getting an easier draw. What's that old saying, "be careful what you wish for?"

  29. jjetplane

    Dec 12, 2016, 12:09 #95528

    At least we are still talking about That Goal! wot changed football forever though still reckon that 40 yarder from Charlie Adam was the goal of the century. Asano should be BM if they do OK in the next two. Wait and see. Iwobi is cool though.

  30. Bard

    Dec 12, 2016, 11:55 #95527

    See we have drawn Bayern. A terrific draw, nothing to lose and even if its goes belly up we can concentrate fully on the FA cup and 4th place.

  31. Paulo75

    Dec 12, 2016, 10:55 #95526

    In summing up, we're doing pretty well so far. Long may it continue but recent history tells us all the wheels will come off before too long.... There you go ....