Will "Silent Stan" Kroenke please crank up the volume (on our current transfer spending)?

Does majority shareholder know the true cost of trophies?



Will

Will he speculate to accumulate?


The universal opinion coming from the Arsenal fans and the media seems to be that Stan Kroenke should invest money back into the playing squad if he really wants to make Arsenal a global football superpower. Football is becoming the first truly global sport and the English Premier League is rapidly becoming "The World League" as super wealthy sheiks, Russian oil billionaires, American tycoons and erm, well Venkys the Indian chicken men, pit both their wits and their bank balances against each other.

If our new majority share holder is going to go from "Silent Stan" to "Stan the man" in the eyes of Gooners everywhere, how much will it cost him to bring us a trophy? £40m, £50m and £60m (on top of whatever money is made from player sales) have been the figures tossed around by a lot of Gooners and newspaper journalists recently but are they way off the mark or right on the money?

As the global football merchandising and television rights markets are becoming increasingly competitive one correlation is being made abundantly clear, summed up by my crude but effective equation. Trophy success for your team = increased global interest and support for your team = increased revenue for your team.

If the cost of trophy success can potentially be offset many times over by future income as a result of increased television, sponsorship and merchandising deals then, surely it makes good business sense to take a calculated risk and go "all out" in your transfer policy for trophies rather than just Champions League qualification every season?

I remember when the whole point of a big football club was to try and win as many trophies as possible, purely for said trophies’ sake but those days are now sadly long gone. English football is now a business, a business that is being run by two distinct types of men. The first type of owners are foreign businessmen with neither infinite cash or boyhood connections to their clubs, therefore meaning the cost of a trophy must not affect the bottom line too much as it is after all, an investment.

The second type of owner, as we all know only too well, is an altogether different animal. The second type of owner is the eccentric billionaire who is prepared to throw good money after bad until their trophy cabinet is full to bursting point and to hell with the cost of it all!

Stan Kroenke, you can bet your bottom dollar, is firmly in the mould of the first type of owner and is not going to plough his own or his Wal-Mart heiress wife's personal fortune into Arsenal F.C. However, Mr Kroenke being the top business sports mogul that absolutely everyone says he is, should know that he is never going to be able to market Arsenal in his home country and worldwide unless they start to win trophies again! Kids in America, Asia, Africa and even Europe are not going to support Arsenal over Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham and both Manchester clubs based on our style of football and finishing in the top four every single season alone. Football supporters above all else want to see their team win trophies and sadly a lot of people base their choice of team on how many trophies said team has won recently.

Everyone loves a winner, that’s the truth, especially our American cousins, so is it a safe bet that Mr. Kroenke will turn us from perennial "nearly men" to consistent winners? Unfortunately the answer to that question depends on how much Silent Stan is prepared to risk in the transfer market.

Our opponents on Sunday are Liverpool who have won seven major trophies between 1992/93 and 2009/10 at a cost of £196m in net player trading, working out to £28m per trophy. The good news is, that while that figure does seem like a huge amount of money, it seems as a team grows to be increasingly successful the cost per major trophy actually decreases! When I say "major trophy" I include everything except the Charity Shield, European Super Cup and international club tournaments outside of the main European competitions.

Arsenal have fared rather better than Liverpool over the same time period winning 10 major trophies at a net spend on player trading of £35.8m, working out to be only £3.58m per trophy! But before we get too carried away we must remember that when we last won the Premiership in 2003/04 we were £16.5m in the red on player trading alone.

If we take a look at the most successful team since the inception of the Premier League, Manchester united, we can see that they have a net spend on player trading of £125.6m between 1992/93 and 2009/10 bringing them a massive haul of 20 trophies! That my fellow Gooners, works out at a measly cost of £6.2m - yes that's right - £6.2m per trophy! Under £3m per trophy more than Arsenal have spent on player trading.

The last time Manchester United won the Premiership in 2008/09 they did so with a net spend of £33.75m and that reflects the increased threat of Chelsea who have a net spend on player trading (not including this season’s £70m on Luiz and Torres) of £370.4m since 1992/93, winning 12 trophies at a cost of £30.86m per trophy.

So it appears that the going rate for a top four club to win a major trophy nowadays is about as much as we all first suspected but, with the increased competition from Manchester City and maybe one day Tottenham too, we should start spending before the cost per trophy ratio goes spiralling through the roof.

Arsene Wenger spending £50m of Stan Kroenke's money wisely in the summer on top of all player sales received could just turn out to be the best £50m Stan Kroenke ever invested in any sports team in his entire life.

Arsenal will be infinitely more marketable with a championship trophy in the cabinet or even more so if we could capture the holy grail itself, the Uefa Champions League.

My figures can be most easily referenced here.


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9
comments

  1. Richard Ansell

    Apr 18, 2011, 12:24 #5252

    Have to agree with CD as our current manager will not be changing his ways anytime soon. Wenger totally infuriates me as he obviously sees all the mistakes and poor squad players that we all see but does absolutely nothing about them. Couple this with the fact that he seems to hate losing and you have the most baffling, stubborn manager I have ever known.

  2. Alastair Kerr

    Apr 17, 2011, 21:24 #5206

    Remember folks, according to Wenger our opinions don't count as we haven't worked more than half a day in football. We have already been informed by Wenger himself that under Stanley our transfer policy won't change. He appears to be unable to see any faults in our team and the points lost this season can be attributed to tiredness, the fixture schedule favouring our rivals, the pitch, international breaks, the referee, the other teams defenders defending........just a thought it might be because we have some distinctly average/**** players (Eboue, Almunia, Denilson, Bendtner etc and we lack the one thing Wenger keeps claiming the team has in spadefuls - MENTAL STRENGTH.

  3. Gazza

    Apr 17, 2011, 20:41 #5203

    Stan owns at the moment less then 2/3rd of the club why does anyone think He will spend his OWN money to make the other 1/3rd richer

  4. Dan

    Apr 17, 2011, 14:27 #5196

    This was the statement from Kroenke: "I approve of the way Arsenal run the club financially and I aim to keep that in all aspects of finance surrounding Arsenal" Basically same old same old rubbish, just prior to ticket renewal deadline the club will say they are in the hunt for world class players, then the day after renewal expiry Wenger will say "oh actually I am happy with my squad"! USMANOV IS THE WAY FORWARD, HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE FOR EVERYONE TO REALISE?

  5. Joe Fitzpatrick

    Apr 17, 2011, 13:52 #5195

    @CD- hopefully Le Boss can now see that even Barca had to make a few expensive additions to their squad before they became consistently successful again. Really worried about Carroll, Suarez and Kuyt today and it would be so nice if we could avoid playing the french chuckle brothers at centre half! Hope our attack has their shooting boots on!!

  6. CD

    Apr 17, 2011, 10:14 #5186

    Don't disagree wih the thrust of your article Joe, but AW is simply to stubborn to start spending now, as it would be an acknowledgement to himself and us that the path he has taken for these last 6 years have failed. We all know that anyway, and whether you are an AKB or an AMG we have all wanted blindingly obvious holes plugged in our team via quality signings, but these have never materialised and their is no reason to believe AW will ever do this. In fact he is on record this week as saying he will not change his philosophy, so if as we all want £50-60 million spent in the coming close season, we would probably need a new manager first!!

  7. Lucy Van Pelt

    Apr 17, 2011, 8:42 #5182

    We live in hope, Joe, however AW has already come out stating he is not going to spend Kronke's money. From yesterday's Guardian: Supporters nurturing hopes that Kroenke's increased influence will lead to Arsenal altering their recruitment policy to compete for transfers with the likes of Chelsea and the Manchester clubs may be less happy, as Wenger suggested this is unlikely to be the case. "We will continue to run the club like it has been done until now," said Wenger. "That means live with our resources, produce our own resources and develop our football team. "On the football side of things we will continue to focus on the football the way we want to play it and to develop our players. We have a squad with [an average age of] about 23 years of age who are in a strong position in the league and we have a certain philosophy of football, and we will continue to develop that and try to play even better." So the question is, will Kronke continue to reward failure or have the balls to get rid of Wenger? I fear for the former, unless Usmanov and Dein get on board at some point. Or unless people start voting with their feet starting from now, and don't get taken in by the illusion of signings in the summer.

  8. Damianx

    Apr 17, 2011, 7:10 #5181

    you should of done it on 3 there is only 3 PL CL FA & then only 2 really PL CL no top team wants the CC or the Euro. Robin & Riberry virtually said if we cant make CL lets take the rest of the year off & finish 6th ready 4 next years title

  9. Danish Gooner.

    Apr 17, 2011, 0:20 #5166

    Coming second,third or fourth is a trophy according to our glorious leader.