Just how much does that doggy in the window cost exactly?

Football Economics 101: Speculate to accumulate.



Just how much does that doggy in the window cost exactly?

Koscielny: Won’t sell many replica shirts


As each transfer window comes and then so agonisingly passes, Arsenal fans increasingly look like the hungry hound staring into the butcher shop window. While all the cash rich, paying customers inside get their sirloin steaks, we consider ourselves lucky to get a single solitary sausage tossed in our direction. In this article, I intend to reignite the debate as to how Arsenal can start to speculate to accumulate a little bit more without risking the long term future of our beloved club.

Will this summer bring us any Gooner Galacticos? Probably not, but do we have to get superstars to be just a wee bit more canny in our marketing and transfer dealings?

Real Madrid are world famous for their free spending Galactico policy when it comes to transfers, and while some of you will argue that it hasn't brought them much success on the pitch, it may come as a surprise to learn that it hasn't hurt their bank balance as much as you might think. Signing players like Luis Figo for £37m, Zinedine Zidane for £47m, Kaka for £56m and Cristiano Ronaldo for £80m might seem crazy to us, but maybe, just maybe, there is a bit of method to be learned from their madness.

The first question we should be asking ourselves and each other is: Where on earth do they get all their money? In 2008, Real Madrid generated commercial revenue and sponsorship of £102m, and their overall revenue for the 2007/08 season reached £290m. This meant that in just six years since 2002, Real Madrid doubled their overall annual revenue. That, my fellow Gooners, was by design rather than by accident. In 2009/10, Real Madrid’s annual revenue increased again to a whopping £359.1m.

It is Arsenal that now has the highest match day revenues in the Premiership. Depending on how well we progress in cup competitions, Arsenal can generate around £100m each year from match day revenue alone. In the year ending 31 May 2009, Arsenal made £100.1m in match day revenue by reaching the semi-finals of both the Champions League and the F.A. Cup. In comparison, our overall revenue in 2009/2010 was £224.4m, which indicates that we are severely trailing the elite clubs when it comes to commercial revenue and sponsorship deals.

Thus, it seems logical to analyse the activities of commercially successful clubs in order to learn from their successes and avoid their mistakes. Much to our dismay, Spanish clubs are allowed to sell the rights to their televised games. For example, in 2006, Real Madrid signed a television contract with Mediapro for €1.1 billion over a seven-year period (€150m a year). An image rights deal with Adidas alone in 2007 netted Real Madrid an astonishing €762m. This does not even take into account their sponsorship deals with Coca-Cola, Audi and bwin.com.

The main reason Real Madrid are so successful commercially is that they are always looking to sign the world’s best and most marketable players. David Beckham signed for Real Madrid in 2003 at a cost of £25m, but as soon as he put pen to paper, Real Madrid were cashing in on his marketability. Real cleverly exploited “brand Beckham,” and as a result, captured the hearts and wallets of millions of new fans worldwide.

A 2003 newspaper article excerpt will remind you of the so-called “Beckham effect:”

"Retailers have dramatically increased orders for Real Madrid strips as football fans flock into stores demanding David Beckham's new kit. Kit supplier Adidas said it was swamped with calls in a "frantic” two-hour period after the England captain's transfer to Real from Manchester United was announced. Calls were being made to increase existing orders of the new Real shirt, which go on sale on Friday. Orders for the shirt doubled in less than two hours, while demand is currently running at 350% up on last year, Adidas said. Nick Craggs, head of marketing at Adidas UK, said: "We are currently working very hard to keep up with demand from retailers in the UK. Despite the dramatic increase in numbers, we are confident that we can fulfill all requests as quickly as possible.”

Although that was all said in the immediate aftermath of the transfer, it is estimated by Real Madrid that Beckham's four year stay in Spain increased their sales of shirts and memorabilia by 137 per cent.

Real achieved a similar increase in commercial success when Cristiano Ronaldo signed for them in June 2009. An estimated 1.2m Cristiano Ronaldo shirts were sold in the Spanish capital alone by April 2010, along with millions more sold worldwide. Ronaldo’s Real Madrid career has only just begun, but shirt sales have thus far generated around £100m of revenue (not profit). Who knows how much revenue Real Madrid will generate if Mourinho can bring silverware to the Bernabeu on a regular basis! The shirt sales in emerging markets such as India and China may not yet match those of Korea and Japan, but there is an undeniably fantastic potential for television deals for Europe's top clubs.

A recent interview with Nigel Currie of marketing and sponsorship giants Brand Rapport was most illuminating on the subject. According to Currie, "What they are doing is partly a response to Barcelona's success, but these signings are them putting down a marker to be the top club and football brand in the world." Currie said Real were targeting the world's best players, who happen to also be the world's most marketable players. He added that in emerging markets, fans may swap allegiance from Manchester United to Real Madrid simply because they preferred to support star players rather than clubs. "They are far more fickle in terms of allegiance," he said. "But it is not about Real looking to sell more merchandising in places like China, in fact they would not make a great deal from doing that. There will be massive TV deals coming up for them overseas in the next few years, that is the big carrot. They are looking to make money from these signings by maximising their future overseas TV rights," says Currie. "With the developments this week Real Madrid will already have restored their profile and status to number one in these emerging markets. And the team that has the most marketable players, and the most supporters, will get the best TV deals," Currie explained.

The man is an expert in his field. If he can see a method to Real's madness, then why can't Arsenal F.C.?

If David Villa cost Barcelona £30m, how much did the club recoup in increased competitive success, merchandising and sponsorship? Does a £30m player always end up costing you £30m? Well, obviously if you do it right, then the answer has to be no, he doesn't.

If Arsenal signed David Villa or Wesley Sneijder, would you buy a replica shirt for you or your kids? I know I would buy two of each for myself if it meant we were signing top international talent!

Manchester United didn't just sign Ji Sung Park for his playing abilities. The club recognised his marketing value in the lucrative Asian markets.

Why is it, then, that Arsene Wenger didn't sign Keisuke Honda after the 2010 World Cup? He has undoubted ability, and Wenger was lavishing the Japanese star with praise during the World Cup; however, a transfer never materialised. I can't help but think that Arsene missed a trick with that one as Honda could have paid for himself in merchandising and TV rights alone.

Players like Koscielny, Denilson, Squillaci, Almunia and Diaby do not sell a lot of shirts or possess a lot of marketability worldwide, and unless they start to win trophies, they will never do so. If Arsenal want to move forward, they are at some point going to have to speculate to accumulate. I, for one, think that now is as good a time as any. Maybe we should all write to Ivan Gazidis and outline just how much we would be prepared to spend on merchandise if certain players were signed! Since it involves us spending even more of our hard earned money than we currently do, I think that he just might be interested in hearing from us!


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32
comments

  1. Roy

    May 30, 2011, 20:51 #7958

    Brilliant Article Joe, I am sure any marketing team would/ should have looked into this especially for a club the size of Arsenal. Whenever Wenger says about the fact that player is not just his transfer fee, we need to work out his wages and see if the club can afford your article should answer the question for him. Have you or anyone forwarded this article to Ivan or any of the marketing team at Arsenal and asked for a response from them. I am sure consumers in Asia would like to buy replica shirts of superstars from Arsenal rather than a bunch of mediocre players ( As we stand I am pretty sure the only replica we sell overseas of our current players would be Cesc, Nasri, Arshavin and Rvp and a smaterring of other players the numbers of which would be embarassing for a club of Arsenal's size). I am sure if the hype around Hazard is true and even if he got a third of the qualities as Messi his transfer fee of £30 million being bandied about will be totally worth it from the sale of replica shirts and am sure the club can take one gamble like this once every five years and can afford the same.

  2. venky

    May 28, 2011, 7:25 #7760

    fantastic article, please send this to wenger and Gazidis

  3. Rajesh Vasu _ India

    May 27, 2011, 13:17 #7726

    Joe. What an insight you have given to all the readers of this blog it was really very informative and thought provoking aticle. Liked it very much

  4. Joe Fitzpatrick

    May 27, 2011, 9:18 #7681

    Kev G- Fair point you make about his wages but, after you take into account his potential resale value at the age of 26 he could yet end up actually being profitable for Real Madrid. I'm not suggesting we are at the level to sign a 80m player, i'm just using the most extreme examples in Beckham and Ronaldo to illustrate that a Sneidjer or Schweinsteiger at around 30m is not beyond the realms of possibility. Wegin van Wegsie- Yes the figures have been researched to the best of my ability and there is no reason to think that it's impossible when you consider the massive turn out at the Bernabeu for his unveiling as a Real Madrid signing.

  5. kev g

    May 27, 2011, 8:17 #7652

    Ronaldo is on an increasing contract. He's about to enter his 3rd year of 5 and in the 5th year he will be on 537k a week. I'd love to see how they will recoup that in marketing strategy

  6. Wegin van Wegsie

    May 27, 2011, 8:05 #7651

    Joe Fitzpatrick, you’re right. 1.2m shirts for Ronaldo. I still don’t believe it, but the articles are on the net.

  7. So crazy it just might work

    May 27, 2011, 2:16 #7647

    Interesting food for thought and it makes sense in that you have to spend money to make money. Two things though, when we negotiated our initial deals we were under the gun and so the board didn't have the courage (vision) to negotiate a much more lucrative deal as they were worried about going under. Those deals are coming up for renewal soon so that can be fixed, especially as Kroenke is more business savvy than the Board was. Secondly, the figures for Real sound interesting but the figures probably won't hold up to serious investigation as they are held up by the Spanish government. They are seriously in debt, just like Barca, just like Milan but they have government backing. We don't. I do agree that a big signing will recoup the money over time though...

  8. Up the Arsenal

    May 27, 2011, 0:29 #7645

    You can't compare the Madrid situation with Arsenal. The City of Madrid bought Real's training ground for 500 Euros and the money funded the galaticos spending spree, this 'close' relationship with public finances is the difference. Unless the London assembley want to do likewise it can never be replicated. Real are also a bigger club with more fans. Barca are also in massive debt. As for the Ji Sung Park example, didn't Wenger try this once with Inamoto?

  9. Arsenal Apologist - respect

    May 26, 2011, 22:22 #7643

    At last, a piece that really cuts through and highlights the absurd nature of the so called Arsenal fans that defend the present regime and philosophy. It was good to laugh after six years of tears. More of the same please.

  10. Joe Fitzpatrick

    May 26, 2011, 21:58 #7642

    Arsene apologist- with a great sense of humour like that YOU seriously should write a full length article to make us laugh! Really funny post mate.

  11. Theo's Bikini-Line

    May 26, 2011, 21:13 #7637

    Very funny, Arsene Apologist. lol.

  12. Joe Fitzpatrick

    May 26, 2011, 20:02 #7633

    Dean- I'm not saying that Real Madrid are perfect but if you look at the effect that Ji sung Park has had on Man utd's profile and merchandising in Asia you will see the "Ronaldo effect" on a smaller scale. If we bought Metersacker for example instead of Kos we could have recouped the difference in transfer fee and wages with increased shirt sales, sponsorship, TV deals, merchandising and increased competitive success. If you disagree then fine, that's your opinion.

  13. MGJ

    May 26, 2011, 18:58 #7631

    Fantastic article and something I have been pointing out to football fans for ages. I originally come from Spain and also support Deportivo and have seen how Real & Barca have dominated football in every way. People (like Baz) live in the past. If you had that attitude to everything in football, people would be standing at matches with rattles, pitches would be ploughed fields, balls would be made from bladders and players would be getting paid in pence not thousands of pounds. Football is a sport but it is also a business. Instead of paying nearly £10 for food and drink per game, I would rather the club bought a big name signing and made money from him. I don't see where the evil is in that! The Premier League is shown all over the world and harnessing its viewers' spending power is an obvious route. Arsenal is run to make money from its fans. In the past we were lucky that we sometimes got rewarded with the odd trophy so it would be overlooked. Not winning for years (I don't think that's been mentioned ever before...) and the prices of going to a game in conjunction with the capitulation for years when we got to the business end of competitions has just highlighted how the club exploits the fans. Stop wasting time and money on sticking a clock which quite frankly belongs in our memories and not sticking out like a sore thumb and run the club with a look at the bigger picture.

  14. Arsene Apologist

    May 26, 2011, 16:59 #7622

    Hey look this is COMPLETELY WRONG! Seriously, if you look at the FACTS you will see that Arsene is doing things the right way. Diaby, Denilson, Eboue, Squillaci, Song, Koscielny and Chamakh are MASSIVELY marketable players and Nike, Adidas, Hi-Tech and Primark are fighting hard for their image rights as we speak. These kinds of players not only have mental strength, but they are blockbuster shirt sellers. WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM ARSENE HUH? He is doing an amazing job under tough financial circumstances. He has only allowed the wage bill to get to £110 million and he works so hard for so little reward. He is only paid £6.5 million a year. What does that Alex Ferguson do to earn his £4 million a year then eh? f you want trophies, world-class players and a top class manager then p*** off and go support Barca or Man U. We do things differently at Arsenal, that is not what Arsenal are about. This club is not about trophies, world class players and a top manager. It is NOT about TROPHIES! This club is much bigger than trophies, we don't need trophies to validate ourselves. WE ARE THE BIGGEST 4TH PLACED CLUB IN EUROPE! Which other team can claim that then? Arsenal don't buy superstars, we make them. Look a Denilson, Diaby, Eboue, Song, Squillaci, Nasri, Silvestre, Almunia, Chamakh. ALL unheard of academy lads on poor wages, who cam through the ranks and are now the envy of Europe. Seriously, Wenger has done an amazing job. WE WERE NOTHING BEFORE ARSENE CAME, NO ONE HAD EVER HEARD OF ARSENAL UNTIL ARSENE ARRIVED! We were a small club playing in a provincial league and then Arsene came along and he REVOLUTIONIZED English football as we know it. Some of the innovations he made were AMAZING! Think about some of the amazing dietary changes he made, like telling players 'Don't snort cocaine' and 'Drinking a bottle of vodka before a game is a bad idea'. He also told some players to stop eating doner kebabs and told them that drinking water and eating vegetables instead would be a better idea. WHO ELSE WOULD YOU REPLACE HIM WITH THEN? Much inferior managers to Arsene who have come nowhere close to his outstanding CL record have rightly been sacked/replaced. Think about Van Gaal, Rijkaard, Ancelotti, Hiddink, Mourinho, etc....WHAT HAVE THEIR CLUBS ACHIEVED AFTER LOSING THESE MANAGERS THEN? Mancini won three back to back titles with Inter, and they sacked him. LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED TO THEM AFTER? THEY ONLY WON THE TREBLE! How about Rijkaard at Barca? They sacked him and hired an unproven manager? LOOK AT WHERE THEY ARE NOW WITH THAT RUBBISH GUARDIOLA? BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR. In Arsene I still Trust.

  15. ArseMart

    May 26, 2011, 16:16 #7618

    Joe - In my opinion the "We'll make it up on shirt sales" argument is as much a smoke screen as Arsene's "We can't buy £50M players" In 2009 Madrid signed Ronaldo, Kaka and Benzema for a combined cost of £170M. I accept that a fan might buy a Ronaldo shirt. But he wouldn't buy a Ronaldo, a Kaka and a Benzema shirt. Those players were bought on the never-never with "shirt sales" and other non-quantifiable potential incomes used to justify both the granting and taking of the loans.

  16. Well said sir

    May 26, 2011, 15:11 #7608

    Well said Beast. Awful short termism in signing up to terrible deals to pay for the sporting white elephant. Now we are stuck and the board have to keep fleecing the fans. Good old Arsenal.

  17. Chris

    May 26, 2011, 14:57 #7604

    I like Kos so I will buy a top so stuff that. I support my team and I am not swayed by big names. I remember in January when this site was saying Kos could be the next Adams. I know everyone wants Wenger to spend loads, but if he spent £50m on a player that was average like most expensive players I would be well angry with him wasting money like that.

  18. Joe Fitzpatrick

    May 26, 2011, 14:50 #7600

    Westie- my figures are correct as ive had them checked by others and no one found any discrepancies. The Ronaldo point is indeed valid as every shirt sale and vastly increased sponsorship/TV deal that they gain as a direct result of having these marquee players knocks a lot off from his wages and initial transfer fee so, An 80m player on €170,000 a week or so does not actually cost those figures as he is contributing directly to the brand of the football club and that has to be taken into account. There is also his potential re-sale to be considered as well. Yes 1.2m Ronaldo shirts were sold by (not in) April 2010 (excuse me for that typing error) I'm not claiming to have all the answers. I'm just trying to get the debate started to see what ideas pop up between all of those interested.

  19. -dean

    May 26, 2011, 14:36 #7594

    You are fast losing credibility with posts like this. The Spanish government routinely bail out Real Madrid. They are not well run, they are a law unto themselves. Do some ****ing research before you post.

  20. GaryFootscrayAustralia

    May 26, 2011, 14:23 #7590

    Nicely done Joe. Well researched, factually accurate and, reading between the lines, a fair synopsis of the "Football Industry" interpretation of an ideal modern football fan - global units of consumerism with no real appreciation or comprehension of seemingly unfashionable ideas of local, regional or community club support, regardless of nation or background, or family tradition, who part with increasing amounts of cash due to their love for and dependence on shiny marketing campaigns to tell them what to do, and how to part with their cash, wherever in the globe that happens to be. In response to baz, I don't think Joe's an idiot but I totally get your point of view. One of the reasons I stopped attending Premier League football and went back to watching Boreham Wood is that in the end I felt more like a receptacle for advertising and marketing promotions than some bloke who went to watch a game of football. Not once at Meadow Park did I ever feel like somebody was trying to sell me something that I didn't want or need...am I allowed to see this article from more than one side, or should I finish my rant with some slogan involving the word "Arsene"?

  21. Exiled-Gooner

    May 26, 2011, 14:07 #7585

    You could add that Wenger's refusal to tour Asia and the orient or any far off place for the last 10 years until now has put Arsenal as a market brand in those area's as grave disadvantage,so with already lost revenue for the last 10years we going to have break into a market against established teams of the likes of Manure,Real etc etc you know trophy winners.Include this with the refusal to buy ''star'' players we don't really have a player ,except Cesc i suppose,to possibly attract the sales like our rivals do.....never mind eh i still got my key ring.

  22. bobbyp

    May 26, 2011, 13:48 #7573

    Well written and interesting piece. Agree with Beast's comments.

  23. Joe Fitzpatrick

    May 26, 2011, 13:40 #7571

    Baz (Post No. 8247)- "Your an idiot" did you mean to say "You're an idiot"?? Or, was that a really clever little piece of sarcastic wit? or are you unable to spell one of the most basic words in the English language? If you do not agree with me please be kind enough to make an intelligent counter argument rather than stoop to childish name calling, As it's really rather unbecoming. We should all be pulling together rather than arguing amongst ourselves! Peace.

  24. What was the point in leaving Highbury?

    May 26, 2011, 13:39 #7570

    Not sure I agree, why wouldn't Koscielny, Denilson, Squillaci, Almunia and Diaby sell alot of shirts? They're technically very gifted and mentally very strong. Surely every football supporter reconises these qualities?

  25. Richard Ansell

    May 26, 2011, 13:38 #7569

    Some interesting thoughts Joe - one thing I would like to add to the debate is Wengers oft quoted 'we can't afford £50M on a single player' remark. Although your article argues that Arsenal could certainly afford to do this, in reality we as fans are not demanding £50M spent on a player. This is yet another smoke-screen put up by Wenger to defend his piss-poor squad of players. Although I am guessing here I am sure there are players out there for a great deal less than £50M that would be a cut above Denilson, Diaby, Bendtner and the rest of our sub-standard losers, but it seems our manager can not be arsed to go and look for them, preferring to reward failure and snap up players like Squillaci that have no business being in an Arsenal shirt.

  26. Wegin van Wegsie

    May 26, 2011, 13:38 #7568

    Real Madrid are around £500m in debt, with no chance of ever paying it off. Luckily, they're too big to ever fail, the banks will never call in their debts, and even if there is, there would be another Government bailout.... And 1.2m shirt sales in Madrid would equate to 1 in 3 Madridistas buying a shirt. Seriously???

  27. Westie

    May 26, 2011, 13:31 #7566

    So Initial player transfer cost + Player wages over the term of his contract - Income directly associated to player merchandise and marketing = ???? Do you have exact figures to prop up your point? The Ronaldo example isn't valid because the club spends a significant amount just on player wage as a player and you ignore this. What I would want to see from an article like this is more detail on the net profit driven by player merchandise and marketing.

  28. BNG

    May 26, 2011, 13:26 #7563

    good article Joe,two things spring to mind who ever OGL brings in we're doomed to keep playing the tippy tappy never shooty fifty passes to get from one penalty box to the other that is Wengers dream and worst of all is if he does major surgery on the squad then next season he has already given himself the perfect get out clause for failure as the new players will need a season to adapt, so this time next year his dwindling band of followers will be braying next year ad infinitum ........if we did sign Benzema Clouseau would play him in the Bendtner right wing role but he would sell a lot of £50 shirts.....lol

  29. Sam

    May 26, 2011, 13:25 #7561

    I like the article and see where your coming from, but most of the clubs commercial deals were done to provide moeny for the new stadium, which at the time were very good deals for the club. I believe the shirt sponsorship with Fly Emirates and the kit deal with Nike are up in a years time. By then we should be in a very good position to negotiate a very good deal with big brands! A good read though (v. interesting with regards to Madrid's dealings).

  30. baz

    May 26, 2011, 13:06 #7549

    you sum up modern fans to me, no wonder so many are turning to lower league teams, your an idiot

  31. ricki

    May 26, 2011, 12:59 #7546

    very interesting post to read. Well done, keep up the informative selection

  32. Beast

    May 26, 2011, 12:56 #7543

    Figures like this help debunk the myth that Arsenal is a well-run club. Horribly poor commercial deals and a wage bill of over 100m on a bunch of losers are not the actions of a well-runn club. Nor is paying a failing manager £6m a year.