Well, the fixtures have been announced, and once again we've been given an extremely tough start. Three difficult away games in the first six fixtures - at Stoke, Liverpool and Man City - and a home game against a newly-resurgent Chelsea, so, as with last season, our title-challenge could be over by the end of September. I don't want to be negative, but this start will not allow time for any new players to bed in, and confidence could be destroyed as it was last season, making it difficult to recover.
We can only hope that we start the season with RvP still an Arsenal player, Wilshere and Arteta both fit, and M'Vila & Giroud (and others please) added to the squad. If you assume we will beat Sunderland and Southampton at home, how many more points can we expect from the other four fixtures?
Stoke will be the usual mixture of brutality and aerial bombardment and will, as always, be a difficult place for any Wengeresque team to succeed. The introduction of a defensive midfielder (M'Vila?) and a solid performance could bring a result, but I have my doubts. I think we'll get a point. Liverpool away is always a very tough fixture, and we were very fortunate to win there last season when we could, and probably should, have been three or four goals down at half-time, so a point would be a good result as I expect them to improve this season.
Man City will still be on a high from last season, and I fully expect them to strengthen, so this is a very daunting fixture. We performed very well there last season and were unfortunate not to come away with a point. I'm not sure we can expect very much at the Etihad as they were the most successful home team in the Premier League last season. No points is my prediction.
Chelsea were the poorest they've been in the league since the Mourinho era started, and I cannot see them being so profligate again this season. I expect a string of new players to strengthen their squad before the season starts. The only good news is that our nemesis, Drogba, has gone but a point may be the best we can expect. So, if you were being optimistic, we would have nine points after six games which will almost certainly be five or six fewer than the two Manchester teams, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Chelsea and Liverpool in similar positions.
So I suspect we will be playing catch-up again, and we can only hope that new players and the influence of Steve Bould can make us a more resilient and cohesive team this term. We will definitely need a big improvement if this season is not to be over before it has really started.